Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000599 0.000689 0.000785 0.000894 0.001015 0.001144 0.001291
2025-05-04 0.000454 0.000577 0.000717 0.000887 0.001088 0.001315 0.001590
2025-05-11 0.000371 0.000504 0.000665 0.000869 0.001120 0.001413 0.001780
2025-05-18 0.000321 0.000464 0.000644 0.000882 0.001182 0.001546 0.002012
2025-05-25 0.000279 0.000427 0.000620 0.000883 0.001227 0.001653 0.002212
2025-06-01 0.000234 0.000379 0.000577 0.000856 0.001230 0.001705 0.002342
2025-06-08 0.000197 0.000339 0.000539 0.000830 0.001231 0.001752 0.002463
2025-06-15 0.000174 0.000314 0.000520 0.000827 0.001261 0.001835 0.002632
2025-06-22 0.000154 0.000293 0.000503 0.000825 0.001290 0.001916 0.002798
2025-06-29 0.000135 0.000270 0.000481 0.000814 0.001305 0.001977 0.002939
2025-07-06 0.000117 0.000247 0.000457 0.000798 0.001311 0.002024 0.003060
2025-07-13 0.000108 0.000239 0.000456 0.000816 0.001366 0.002141 0.003278
2025-07-20 0.000099 0.000229 0.000451 0.000827 0.001413 0.002249 0.003488
2025-07-27 0.000087 0.000212 0.000433 0.000818 0.001427 0.002310 0.003635
2025-08-03 0.000075 0.000194 0.000413 0.000802 0.001430 0.002354 0.003758
2025-08-10 0.000069 0.000187 0.000409 0.000813 0.001475 0.002461 0.003972
2025-08-17 0.000062 0.000177 0.000400 0.000815 0.001505 0.002545 0.004154
2025-08-24 0.000053 0.000160 0.000377 0.000789 0.001489 0.002560 0.004235
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000145 0.000355 0.000765 0.001474 0.002575 0.004317
2025-09-07 0.000040 0.000136 0.000345 0.000762 0.001495 0.002644 0.004479
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000128 0.000336 0.000760 0.001516 0.002714 0.004643
2025-09-21 0.000031 0.000119 0.000324 0.000750 0.001522 0.002760 0.004772
2025-09-28 0.000027 0.000110 0.000309 0.000734 0.001518 0.002791 0.004877